November 04, 2006

Risk Capital, Week 10

BYU -15 over Colorado State
Cougars are 7-0-1 ATS this year, playing much better than the public seems to realize. Great pass offense against weak pass D.

Mississippi State +15 at Alabama
Bulldogs have played much better with a healthy QB Henig the last two, in fact JUCO WR Tony Burks has been electric with over 26 ypc. Alabama has failed to score 15 pts in three of their five SEC games, and the other two went to OT and they only scored 23. Tide backfield all has nagging injuries, but their playmaker this year is the unheralded DJ Hall. Oh yeah, Phil Steele thinks that MSU HC Croom still has a grudge against Bama for picking Mike Shula instead of him.

Arkansas over South Carolina, -135
Keep it simple as the Gamecocks are playing tough in the losses and are only 2' dogs at home. Arkansas can smell the SEC title game, and they will close hard. Mitch Mustain is 7-0 as a starter.

Western Michigan -14 over Miami (OH)
Broncos are 5-3 ATS, but the only bad miss was losing to Ohio as a 4pt Fave. RedHawks are struggling withoout a running game nor a defense, Broncos have both. I have been bullish on Mark Bonds as a good sleeper multi-talented RB all year.

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