November 30, 2006

Inside the BCS with Wesley Colley of Colley Matrix

I have been chatting with Wesley Colley all season long because I have great respect for the work he does on his college rankings (basketball too). So when I saw that this week he was the lone computer poll to have USC at #1, we had to keep our conversation going...

Vince Mullins: Wesley, you are the only system that has USC as the overall #1 - tell me about what your work likes about the Trojans this year over Ohio State. Also, what are the other polls missing in your opinion?
Wesley Colley: First, some of the other systems have USC VERY close to OSU in their internal ratings, so I'm not really much of an outlier. I suspect some of the systems may join me if USC beats UCLA. What my system likes about the Trojans is that they've won their conference outright, beat SECW champ Arkansas, Big XII-North champ Nebraska, and by far the best indy in Notre Dame - all while, they've played zero creampuffs.
VM: Florida fans are killing me with questions - is there any chance that the Gators can leap above USC and get to the Championship Game with a win over Arkansas and a USC loss to UCLA? What about in your work? The big BCS score gap makes it look difficult to me....
WC: The short answer is yes. UF can absolutely get into my top 2 if USC loses.
VM: Also, I quickly scanned the computer "index" and the biggest variance to the pollsters is Wisconsin (computers average 12, voters agree on 6) would you explain the gap in the pollsters opinion and the bias-free nature of the computers?
WC: Wisconsin lost early and has percolated up the human polls, but hasn't beaten a ranked team. Wisconsin is essentially the OTHER beneficiary to the lack of Badger-Buckeye matchup this season, while Ohio State's SOS suffers because of it.
VM: Are there any other issues you want to highlight with your system or the polls?

WC: It'll be a lot more interesting if the Bruins pull off the miracle.
While some people may just go ahead and sign up for University of Phoenix online because of the commercials you may want to take some time to research various college degree programs available online, so that you aren't investing time and money into online college degrees that won't help you in the long run.


Anonymous said...

How can you respect his work? Not only does he have USC #1 over an Ohio State team that is by far the best team, but he's got Butler #1 in his bball poll. What a joke. Geeks like this that just plug numbers into a formula shouldn't be allowed to impact the landscape of college football.

Vinnie said...

Tucker Carlson? Former U.S. Senator Paul Simon? Sorry, my attention span was only able to process the bowtie and nothing else. I bet this was a good post though.

Vince said...

Anon, his work is based on statistical principles rather than assumptions and preconceptions. Early in the season there are fewer data points, hence more opportunity for some crazy outcomes like Butler at #1. Butler has some big wins early in the year, so they are #1 now - in November.

And if you would ANONYMOUSLY look at the ESPN link, you see that there are other computer polls with USC a very close #2.

I would rather see an index of computer formulas than a coaches poll decide who gets the big bowl money and a shot at the crystal football.

Anonymous said...

Soccer Live Matches At Your Desktop

There are thousands of High Quality Channels streaming live football from around the world. We are here to show you how to find them. Receive live match links in your mail account. English Premiership Football and European Soccer Streams. Note all matches are as per BST.

Special Introductory offer:
Live match links in your mail account at only £1.00 GBP. Free for First Day if you subscribe it now.

1. Free Software:
We will provide you all software you need to get live match at your desktop.

2. Low Cost:
Free for the first day, Receive live match links in your mail account @ £1.00 GBP for each 2 weeks.

3. What's Needed:
Just need is to click on the link, start the software and match is on your desktop.

3. Live Soccer:
Watch live soccer online on your PC no need of buying Sky or Cable?

4. Is It Legal?
We donot stream live football from this server or blog. There are thousands of High Quality Channels streaming live football from around the world. We are here to show you how to find them.

Check it Once

Soccer Live Matches At Your Desktop